Mark Borsuk

Research Interests

Mathematical models for integrating scientific information on natural, technical, and social systems; Bayesian network modeling with regular application to environmental and human health regulation and decision making; novel approaches to climate change assessment, combining risk analysis, game theory, and agent-based modeling.

Bio

Mark Borsuk’s research concerns the development and application of mathematical models for integrating scientific information on natural, technical, and social systems. He is a widely-cited expert in Bayesian network modeling with regular application to environmental and human health regulation and decision making. He is also the originator of novel approaches to climate change assessment, combining risk analysis, game theory, and agent-based modeling. Borsuk’s highly collaborative research has been funded by NSF, EPA, NIH, NIEHS and USFS, and he has authored or co-authored 75 peer-reviewed journal publications and 6 book chapters.

Borsuk received the Chauncey Starr Distinguished Young Risk Analyst Award from the Society for Risk Analysis in 2013 and the Early Career Research Excellence Award from the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society in 2008. Before joining the Duke faculty, Dr. Borsuk was a member of the Dartmouth College faculty for 10 years where he held an appointment in the Thayer School of Engineering. Dr. Borsuk received a B.S.E. in Civil Engineering and Operations Research from Princeton University, an M.S. in Statistics and Decision Sciences from Duke University, and a Ph.D. in Environmental Science and Policy from Duke University. He did his post-doctoral training in the Department of Systems Analysis, Integrated Assessment, and Modelling (SIAM) at the Swiss Federal Institute for Aquatic Science and Technology (EAWAG), where he advanced to head of the Decision Analysis and Integrated Assessment group.

As part of his appointment at Duke, Dr. Borsuk directs a new interdisciplinary research and teaching initiative in risk, uncertainty, optimization and decision-making.

Education

• B.S.E. Princeton University, 1995
• Ph.D. Duke University, 2001
• M.S. Duke University, 2001

Positions

• James L. and Elizabeth M. Vincent Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering
• Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering
• Director of the RESILE Center
• Co-Director of the Center on Risk in the Duke Initiative for Science & Society
• Associate of the Duke Initiative for Science & Society

Awards, Honors, and Distinctions

• Earl I. Brown Outstanding Civil Engineering Faculty Award. Civil and Enviornmental Engineering Duke University. 2018
• Chauncey Starr Distinguished Young Risk Analyst Award. Society for Risk Analysis. 2013
• Best Paper. Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management Journal. 2012
• Excellence in Mentoring Award. Dartmouth College Postdoctoral Association. 2010
• Best Paper in Integrated Modelling. Environmental Modelling & Software Journal. 2008
• Early Career Research Excellence Award. International Environmental Modelling and Software Society. 2008

Courses Taught

• MENG 552: Master of Engineering Supplemental Internship
• MENG 551: Master of Engineering Internship/Project Assessment
• MENG 550: Master of Engineering Internship/Project
• ENERGY 796T: Bass Connections Energy & Environment Research Team
• ENERGY 795T: Bass Connections Energy & Environment Research Team
• ENERGY 396T: Bass Connections Energy & Environment Research Team
• ENERGY 395T: Bass Connections Energy & Environment Research Team
• EGR 305: Engineering Systems Optimization and Economics
• ECON 212: Engineering Systems Optimization and Economics
• CEE 692: Independent Study: Advanced Topics in Civil and Environmental Engineering
• CEE 691: Independent Study: Advanced Topics in Civil and Environmental Engineering
• CEE 690: Advanced Topics in Civil and Environmental Engineering
• CEE 551: Risk and Resilience Engineering
• CEE 494: Research Independent Study in Civil and Environmental Engineering
• CEE 493: Research Independent Study in Civil and Environmental Engineering
• CEE 394: Research Independent Study in Civil and Environmental Engineering
• CEE 351: Engineering Economics, Risk, and Decision-Making

Publications

• Bourne K, Calder RSD, Zuidema S, Chen CY, Borsuk ME. Local land-use decisions drive losses in river biological integrity to 2099: Using machine learning to disentangle interacting drivers of ecological change in policy forecasts. Meteorological Applications. 2025 Jan 1;32(1).
• Gazar AM, Borsuk ME, Calder RSD. Causal inference to scope environmental impact assessment of renewable energy projects and test competing mental models of decarbonization. Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability. 2024 Dec 1;4(4).
• Robinson C, Bradbury K, Borsuk ME. Remotely sensed above-ground storage tank dataset for object detection and infrastructure assessment. Scientific data. 2024 Jan;11(1):67.
• Bourne K, Curtis AN, Chipman J, Chen CY, Borsuk ME. Patterns of Co-contamination in Freshwater and Marine Fish of the Northeastern USA. Environmental Modeling and Assessment. 2023 Dec 1;28(6):1127u201337.
• Calder RSD, Robinson CS, Borsuk ME. Total Social Costs and Benefits of Long-Distance Hydropower Transmission. Environmental science & technology. 2022 Dec;56(24):17510u201322.
• Krapu C, Borsuk M. A Differentiable Hydrology Approach for Modeling With Time-Varying Parameters. Water Resources Research. 2022 Sep 1;58(9).
• Holt JR, Smetzer JR, Borsuk ME, Laflower D, Orwig DA, Thompson JR. Emerald ash borer intensifies harvest regimes on private land. Ecological applicationsu202f: a publication of the Ecological Society of America. 2022 Mar;32(2):e2508.
• Mavrommati G, Borsuk ME, Kreiley AI, Larosee C, Rogers S, Burford K, et al. A methodological framework for understanding shared social values in deliberative valuation. Ecological Economics. 2021 Dec 1;190.
• Holt JR, Butler BJ, Borsuk ME, Markowski-Lindsay M, MacLean MG, Thompson JR. Using the Theory of Planned Behavior to Understand Family Forest Ownersu2019 Intended Responses to Invasive Forest Insects. Society and Natural Resources. 2021 Jan 1;34(8):1001u201318.
• Wiener J, Aldy J, Felgenhauer T, Borsuk M, Pizer W, Tavoni M, et al. Social Science Research to Inform Solar Geoengineering. Science. 2021;374(6569):815u20138.
• Holt JR, Borsuk ME. Using Zillow data to value green space amenities at the neighborhood scale. Urban Forestry and Urban Greening. 2020 Dec 1;56.
• Calder RSD, Alatorre A, Marx RS, Mallampalli V, Mason SA, Olander LP, et al. Graphical models and the challenge of evidence-based practice in development and sustainability. Environmental Modelling and Software. 2020 Aug 1;130.
• MacLean MG, Holt J, Borsuk M, Markowski-Lindsay M, Butler BJ, Kittredge DB, et al. Potential impacts of insect-induced harvests in the mixed forests of new England. Forests. 2020 May 1;11(5).
• Krapu C, Borsuk M. A spatial community regression approach to exploratory analysis of ecological data. Methods in Ecology and Evolution. 2020 May 1;11(5):608u201320.
• Holt JR, Borsuk ME, Butler BJ, Kittredge DB, Laflower D, MacLean MG, et al. Landowner functional types to characterize response to invasive forest insects. People and Nature. 2020 Mar 1;2(1):204u201316.
• Markowski-Lindsay M, Borsuk ME, Butler BJ, Duveneck MJ, Holt J, Kittredge DB, et al. Compounding the Disturbance: Family Forest Owner Reactions to Invasive Forest Insects. Ecological Economics. 2020 Jan 1;167.
• Mavrommati G, Rogers S, Howarth RB, Borsuk ME. Representing future generations in the deliberative valuation of ecosystem services. Elementa. 2020 Jan 1;8(23).
• Calder RSD, Shi C, Mason SA, Olander LP, Borsuk ME. Forecasting ecosystem services to guide coastal wetland rehabilitation decisions. Ecosystem Services. 2019 Oct 1;39.
• Curtis AN, Bourne K, Borsuk ME, Buckman KL, Demidenko E, Taylor VF, et al. Effects of temperature, salinity, and sediment organic carbon on methylmercury bioaccumulation in an estuarine amphipod. The Science of the total environment. 2019 Oct;687:907u201316.
• Rogers SH, Rardin LR, Lawlor K, Chen CY, Borsuk ME. Communicating Arsenic's Risks. International journal of environmental research and public health. 2019 Sep;16(18):E3436.
• Krapu C, Borsuk M, Kumar M. Gradient-Based Inverse Estimation for a Rainfall-Runoff Model. Water Resources Research. 2019 Aug 1;55(8):6625u201339.
• Bryant BP, Borsuk ME, Hamel P, Oleson KLL, Schulp CJE, Willcock S. Corrigendum to u201cTransparent and feasible uncertainty assessment adds value to applied ecosystem services modelingu201d [Ecosystem Services 33 (2018) 103u2013109](S2212041618303218)(10.1016/j.ecoser.2018.09.001). Ecosystem Services. 2019 Aug 1;38.
• Tallis H, Kreis K, Olander L, Ringler C, Ameyaw D, Borsuk ME, et al. Aligning evidence generation and use across health, development, and environment. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability. 2019 Aug 1;39:81u201393.
• Borsuk ME, Mavrommati G, Samal NR, Zuidema S, Wollheim W, Rogers SH, et al. Deliberative multiattribute valuation of ecosystem services across a range of regional land-use, socioeconomic, and climate scenarios for the upper merrimack river watershed, New Hampshire, USA. Ecology and Society. 2019 Jul 1;24(2).
• Krapu C, Borsuk M. Probabilistic programming: A review for environmental modellers. Environmental Modelling and Software. 2019 Apr 1;114:40u20138.
• Wiener J, Grieger K, Felgenhauer T, Renn O, Borsuk M. Emerging Risk Governance for Stratospheric Aerosol Injection as a Climate Management Technology. Environment Systems and Decisions. 2019;39(4):371u201382.
• Krapu C, Kumar M, Borsuk M. Identifying Wetland Consolidation Using Remote Sensing in the North Dakota Prairie Pothole Region. Water Resources Research. 2018 Oct 1;54(10):7478u201394.
• Bryant BP, Borsuk ME, Hamel P, Oleson KLL, Schulp CJE, Willcock S. Transparent and feasible uncertainty assessment adds value to applied ecosystem services modeling. Ecosystem Services. 2018 Oct 1;33:103u20139.
• Samal NR, Wollheim WM, Zuidema S, Stewart RJ, Zhou Z, Mineau MM, et al. A coupled terrestrial and aquatic biogeophysical model of the Upper Merrimack River watershed, New Hampshire, to inform ecosystem services evaluation and management under climate and land-cover change. Ecology and Society. 2017 Dec 1;22(4).
• Murphy MB, Mavrommati G, Mallampalli VR, Howarth RB, Borsuk ME. Comparing group deliberation to other forms of preference aggregation in valuing ecosystem services. Ecology and Society. 2017 Dec 1;22(4).
• Mavrommati G, Borsuk ME, Howarth RB. A novel deliberative multicriteria evaluation approach to ecosystem service valuation. Ecology and Society. 2017 Jun 1;22(2).
• Mavrommati G, Bithas K, Borsuk ME, Howarth RB. Integration of ecological-biological thresholds in conservation decision making. Conservation biology. 2016 Dec;30(6):1173u201381.
• Mallampalli VR, Mavrommati G, Thompson J, Duveneck M, Meyer S, Ligmann-Zielinska A, et al. Methods for translating narrative scenarios into quantitative assessments of land use change. Environmental Modelling and Software. 2016 Aug 1;82:7u201320.
• Su C, Borsuk ME. Improving structure MCMC for Bayesian networks through Markov Blanket resampling. Journal of Machine Learning Research. 2016 Apr 1;17:1u201320.
• Lutz DA, Burakowski EA, Murphy MB, Borsuk ME, Niemiec RM, Howarth RB. Trade-offs between three forest ecosystem services across the state of New Hampshire, USA: timber, carbon, and albedo. Ecological applicationsu202f: a publication of the Ecological Society of America. 2016 Jan;26(1):146u201361.
• Paul MP, Rigrod P, Wingate S, Borsuk ME. A Community-Driven Intervention in Tuftonboro, New Hampshire, Succeeds in Altering Water Testing Behavior. Journal of environmental health. 2015 Dec;78(5):30u20139.
• Ding P, Gerst MD, Bang G, Borsuk ME. An application of automated mediation to international climate treaty negotiation. Group Decision and Negotiation. 2015 Sep 1;24(5):885u2013903.
• Andrew AS, Gui J, Hu T, Wyszynski A, Marsit CJ, Kelsey KT, et al. Genetic polymorphisms modify bladder cancer recurrence and survival in a USA population-based prognostic study. BJU international. 2015 Feb;115(2):238u201347.
• Turaga RMR, Howarth RB, Borsuk ME. Perceptions of Mercury Risk and Its Management. Human and Ecological Risk Assessment. 2014 Sep 1;20(5):1385u2013405.
• Su C, Borsuk ME, Andrew A, Karagas M. Incorporating prior expert knowledge in learning Bayesian networks from genetic epidemiological data. In: 2014 IEEE Conference on Computational Intelligence in Bioinformatics and Computational Biology, CIBCB 2014. 2014.
• Chen CY, Borsuk ME, Bugge DM, Hollweg T, Balcom PH, Ward DM, et al. Benthic and pelagic pathways of methylmercury bioaccumulation in estuarine food webs of the northeast United States. PloS one. 2014 Jan;9(2):e89305.
• Howarth RB, Gerst MD, Borsuk ME. Risk mitigation and the social cost of carbon. Global Environmental Change. 2014 Jan 1;24(1):123u201331.
• Rinderknecht SL, Albert C, Borsuk ME, Schuwirth N, Ku00fcnsch HR, Reichert P. The effect of ambiguous prior knowledge on Bayesian model parameter inference and prediction. Environmental Modelling and Software. 2014 Jan 1;62:300u201315.
• Anderson CA, Eser U, Korndorf T, Borsuk ME, Skotheim JM, Gladfelter AS. Nuclear repulsion enables division autonomy in a single cytoplasm. Curr Biol. 2013 Oct 21;23(20):1999u20132010.
• Kelly RA, Jakeman AJ, Barreteau O, Borsuk ME, ElSawah S, Hamilton SH, et al. Selecting among five common modelling approaches for integrated environmental assessment and management. Environmental Modelling and Software. 2013 Sep 1;47:159u201381.
• Lee C, Zhang H, Baker AE, Occhipinti P, Borsuk ME, Gladfelter AS. Protein aggregation behavior regulates cyclin transcript localization and cell-cycle control. Dev Cell. 2013 Jun 24;25(6):572u201384.
• Gerst MD, Wang P, Borsuk ME. Discovering plausible energy and economic futures under global change using multidimensional scenario discovery. Environmental Modelling and Software. 2013 Jun 1;44:76u201386.
• Giupponi C, Borsuk ME, de Vries BJM, Hasselmann K. Innovative approaches to integrated global change modelling. Environmental Modelling and Software. 2013 Jun 1;44:1u20139.
• Gerst MD, Wang P, Roventini A, Fagiolo G, Dosi G, Howarth RB, et al. Agent-based modeling of climate policy: An introduction to the ENGAGE multi-level model framework. Environmental Modelling and Software. 2013 Jun 1;44:62u201375.
• Su C, Andrew A, Karagas MR, Borsuk ME. Using Bayesian networks to discover relations between genes, environment, and disease. BioData mining. 2013 Mar;6(1):6.
• Gerst MD, Howarth RB, Borsuk ME. The interplay between risk attitudes and low probability, high cost outcomes in climate policy analysis. Environmental Modelling and Software. 2013 Mar 1;41:176u201384.
• Nair A, Thomas AC, Borsuk ME. Interannual variability in the timing of New England shellfish toxicity and relationships to environmental forcing. The Science of the total environment. 2013 Mar;447:255u201366.
• Wang P, Gerst MD, Borsuk ME. Exploring energy and economic futures using agent-based modeling and scenario discovery. Understanding Complex Systems. 2013 Jan 1;251u201369.
• Gerst MD, Wang P, Roventini A, Dosi G, Howarth RB, Borsuk ME. Integrated assessment of mitigation strategies using an agent-based model of the linked energy, economic, and climate system. In: iEMSs 2012 - Managing Resources of a Limited Planet: Proceedings of the 6th Biennial Meeting of the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society. 2012. p. 893u2013900.
• Gerst MD, Ding P, Howarth RB, Borsuk ME. A possible integration of multiple paradigms used in integrated assessment modelling of climate change. In: iEMSs 2012 - Managing Resources of a Limited Planet: Proceedings of the 6th Biennial Meeting of the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society. 2012. p. 1343u201350.
• Ding P, Gerst MD, Bernstein A, Howarth RB, Borsuk ME. Rare disasters and risk attitudes: international differences and implications for integrated assessment modeling. Risk analysisu202f: an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis. 2012 Nov;32(11):1846u201355.
• Rinderknecht SL, Borsuk ME, Reichert P. Bridging uncertain and ambiguous knowledge with imprecise probabilities. Environmental Modelling and Software. 2012 Oct 1;36:122u201330.
• Borsuk ME, Schweizer S, Reichert P. A Bayesian network model for integrative river rehabilitation planning and management. Integrated environmental assessment and management. 2012 Jul;8(3):462u201372.
• Barton DN, Kuikka S, Varis O, Uusitalo L, Henriksen HJ, Borsuk M, et al. Bayesian networks in environmental and resource management. Integrated environmental assessment and management. 2012 Jul;8(3):418u201329.
• Gui J, Tosteson TD, Borsuk M. Weighted multiple testing procedures for genomic studies. BioData Mining. 2012 Jun 11;5(1).
• Jakeman A, Rizzoli A, Voinov A, Athanasiadis I, Berger T, Borsuk M, et al. Best Paper Awards for 2010. Environmental Modelling and Software. 2011 Dec 1;26(12):1375.
• Rinderknecht SL, Borsuk ME, Reichert P. Eliciting density ratio classes. International Journal of Approximate Reasoning. 2011 Sep 1;52(6):792u2013804.
• Ding P, Hoyle CES, Borsuk ME. Parameter optimization and Bayesian inference in an estuarine eutrophication model of intermediate complexity. In: Modelling for Environmentu2019s Sake: Proceedings of the 5th Biennial Conference of the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society, iEMSs 2010. 2010. p. 1745u201352.
• Tomassini L, Knutti R, Plattner GK, van Vuuren DP, Stocker TF, Howarth RB, et al. Uncertainty and risk in climate projections for the 21st century: Comparing mitigation to non-intervention scenarios. Climatic Change. 2010 Dec 1;103(3):399u2013422.
• Gronewold AD, Borsuk ME. Improving water quality assessments through a hierarchical Bayesian analysis of variability. Environmental science & technology. 2010 Oct;44(20):7858u201364.
• Nair DR, Du2019Ausilio CA, Occhipinti P, Borsuk ME, Gladfelter AS. A conserved Gu2081 regulatory circuit promotes asynchronous behavior of nuclei sharing a common cytoplasm. Cell Cycle. 2010 Sep 15;9(18):3771u20139.
• Rieckermann J, Borsuk ME, Sydler D, Gujer W, Reichert P. Bayesian experimental design of tracer studies to monitor wastewater leakage from sewer networks. Water Resources Research. 2010 Aug 19;46(8).
• Gerst MD, Howarth RB, Borsuk ME. Accounting for the risk of extreme outcomes in an integrated assessment of climate change. Energy Policy. 2010 Aug 1;38(8):4540u20138.
• Wullschleger SD, Davis EB, Borsuk ME, Gunderson CA, Lynd LR. Biomass production in switchgrass across the United States: Database description and determinants of yield. Agronomy Journal. 2010 Jul 1;102(4):1158u201368.
• Turaga RMR, Howarth RB, Borsuk ME. Pro-environmental behavior: rational choice meets moral motivation. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences. 2010 Jan;1185:211u201324.
• Tomassini L, Reichert P, Ku00fcnsch HR, Buser C, Knutti R, Borsuk ME. A smoothing algorithm for estimating stochastic, continuous time model parameters and its application to a simple climate model. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics. 2009 Dec 1;58(5):679u2013704.
• Gronewold AD, Borsuk ME. A software tool for translating deterministic model results into probabilistic assessments of water quality standard compliance. Environmental Modelling and Software. 2009 Oct 1;24(10):1257u201362.
• Borsuk ME, Schweizer S, Reichert P. Addressing stakeholder concerns using the Integrative River Rehabilitation Model (IRRM). In: Proc iEMSs 4th Biennial Meeting - Int Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software: Integrating Sciences and Information Technology for Environmental Assessment and Decision Making, iEMSs 2008. 2008. p. 842u20139.
• Gronewold AD, Borsuk ME, Wolpert RL, Reckhow KH. An assessment of fecal indicator bacteria-based water quality standards. Environmental science & technology. 2008 Jul;42(13):4676u201382.
• Mieleitner J, Borsuk M, Bu00fcrgi HR, Reichert P. Identifying functional groups of phytoplankton using data from three lakes of different trophic state. Aquatic Sciences. 2008 Apr 1;70(1):30u201346.
• Borsuk ME, Maurer M, Lienert J, Larsen TA. Charting a path for innovative toilet technology using multicriteria decision analysis. Environmental science & technology. 2008 Mar;42(6):1855u201362.
• Burkhardt-Holm P, Segner H, Burki R, Peter A, Schubert S, Suter MJF, et al. Estrogenic endocrine disruption in Switzerland: Assessment of fish exposure and effects. Chimia. 2008 Jan 1;62(5):376u201382.
• Borsuk ME. Bayesian Networks. In: Encyclopedia of Ecology, Five-Volume Set. 2008. p. 307u201317.
• Borsuk ME. Statistical Prediction. In: Encyclopedia of Ecology, Five-Volume Set. 2008. p. 3362u201373.
• Stow CA, Reckhow KH, Qian SS, Lamon EC, Arhonditsis GB, Borsuk ME, et al. Approaches to evaluate water quality model parameter uncertainty for adaptive TMDL implementation. Journal of the American Water Resources Association. 2007 Dec 1;43(6):1499u2013507.
• Schweizer S, Borsuk ME, Reichert P. Erratum: Predicting the morphological and hydraulic consequences of river rehabilitation (River Research and Applications vol. 3 (23) (303-322)). River Research and Applications. 2007 Sep 1;23(7):799.
• Spu00f6rri C, Borsuk M, Peters I, Reichert P. The economic impacts of river rehabilitation: A regional Input-Output analysis. Ecological Economics. 2007 Apr 20;62(2):341u201351.
• Fenner K, Lanz VA, Scheringer M, Borsuk ME. Relating atrazine degradation rate in soil to environmental conditions: implications for global fate modeling. Environmental science & technology. 2007 Apr;41(8):2840u20136.
• Tomassini L, Reichert P, Knutti R, Stocker TF, Borsuk ME. Robust Bayesian uncertainty analysis of climate system properties using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. Journal of Climate. 2007 Apr 1;20(7):1239u201354.
• Schweizer S, Borsuk ME, Reichert P. Predicting the morphological and hydraulic consequences of river rehabilitation. River Research and Applications. 2007 Mar 1;23(3):303u201322.
• Schweizer S, Borsuk ME, Jowett I, Reichert P. Predicting joint frequency distributions of depth and velocity for instream habitat assessment. River Research and Applications. 2007 Mar 1;23(3):287u2013302.
• Reichert P, Borsuk M, Hostmann M, Schweizer S, Spu00f6rri C, Tockner K, et al. Concepts of decision support for river rehabilitation. Environmental Modelling and Software. 2007 Feb 1;22(2):188u2013201.
• Borsuk ME, Reichert P, Peter A, Schager E, Burkhardt-Holm P. Assessing the decline of brown trout (Salmo trutta) in Swiss rivers using a Bayesian probability network. Ecological Modelling. 2006 Feb 15;192(1u20132):224u201344.
• Rieckermann J, Borsuk ME, Gujer W. Using decision analysis to determine optimal experimental design for monitoring sewer exfiltration with tracers. Water science and technologyu202f: a journal of the International Association on Water Pollution Research. 2006 Jan;54(6u20137):161u20138.
• Reichert P, Borsuk ME. Does high forecast uncertainty preclude effective decision support? Environmental Modelling and Software. 2005 Aug 1;20(8):991u20131001.
• Rieckermann J, Borsuk M, Reichert P, Gujer W. A novel tracer method for estimating sewer exfiltration. Water Resources Research. 2005 May 1;41(5):1u201311.
• Borsuk ME, Tomassini L. Uncertainty, imprecision, and the precautionary principle in climate change assessment. Water science and technologyu202f: a journal of the International Association on Water Pollution Research. 2005 Jan;52(6):213u201325.
• Borsuk ME, Stow CA, Reckhow KH. Confounding effect of flow on estuarine response to nitrogen loading. Journal of Environmental Engineering. 2004 Jun 1;130(6):605u201314.
• Borsuk ME, Stow CA, Reckhow KH. A Bayesian network of eutrophication models for synthesis, prediction, and uncertainty analysis. Ecological Modelling. 2004 Apr 1;173(2u20133):219u201339.
• Borsuk ME. Predictive assessment of fish health and fish kills in the Neuse River Estuary using elicited expert judgment. Human and Ecological Risk Assessment. 2004 Apr 1;10(2):415u201334.
• Stow CA, Roessler C, Borsuk ME, Bowen JD, Reckhow KH. Comparison of Estuarine water quality models for total maximum daily load development in Neuse River Estuary. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management. 2003 Jul 1;129(4):307u201314.
• Borsuk ME, Stow CA, Reckhow KH. Integrated approach to total maximum daily load development for Neuse River Estuary using Bayesian probability network model (Neu-BERN). Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management. 2003 Jul 1;129(4):271u201382.
• Stow CA, Borsuk ME. Assessing TMDL effectiveness using flow-adjusted concentrations: a case study of the Neuse River, North Carolina. Environmental science & technology. 2003 May;37(10):2043u201350.
• Qian SS, Stow CA, Borsuk ME. On Monte Carlo methods for Bayesian inference. Ecological Modelling. 2003 Jan 15;159(2u20133):269u201377.
• Stow CA, Borsuk ME. Enhancing causal assessment of estuarine fishkills using graphical models. Ecosystems. 2003 Jan 1;6(1):11u20139.
• Borsuk ME, Stow CA, Reckhow KH. Predicting the frequency of water quality standard violations: a probabilistic approach for TMDL development. Environmental science & technology. 2002 May;36(10):2109u201315.
• Borsuk ME, Powers SP, Peterson CH. A survival model of the effects of bottom-water hypoxia on the population density of an estuarine clam (Macoma balthica). Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. 2002 Jan 1;59(8):1266u201374.
• Borsuk M, Clemen R, Maguire L, Reckhow K. Stakeholder Values and Scientific Modeling in the Neuse River Watershed. Group Decision and Negotiation. 2001 Dec 1;10(4):355u201373.
• Borsuk ME, Higdon D, Stow CA, Reckhow KH. A Bayesian hierarchical model to predict benthic oxygen demand from organic matter loading in estuaries and coastal zones. Ecological Modelling. 2001 Sep 15;143(3):165u201381.
• Stow CA, Borsuk ME, Stanley DW. Long-term changes in watershed nutrient inputs and riverine exports in the Neuse River, North Carolina. Water research. 2001 Apr;35(6):1489u201399.
• Borsuk ME, Stow CA, Luettich RA, Paerl HW, Pinckney JL. Modelling oxygen dynamics in an intermittently stratified estuary: Estimation of process rates using field data. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science. 2001 Jan 1;52(1):33u201349.
• Qian SS, Borsuk ME, Stow CA. Seasonal and long-term nutrient trend decomposition along a spatial gradient in the neuse river watershed. Environmental Science and Technology. 2000 Nov 1;34(21):4474u201382.
• Borsuk ME, Stow CA. Bayesian parameter estimation in a mixed-order model of BOD decay. Water Research. 2000 Apr 1;34(6):1830u20136.

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